Showing posts with label Real Madrid. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Real Madrid. Show all posts

Friday, 15 August 2014

Premier League 2014/15 Season Preview



The waiting is finally over, and in just a few immensely long hours, and minutes, the world's premier domestic football competition will return to full flow. Fans of Championship sides and those competing in the qualifying rounds of European competition have already whet their appetite with a return to action - whilst Arsenal and Real Madrid have already had their name engraved on silverware this season.

Following a belter of a campaign last time out, the stage is set for, incredibly, an even more enthralling show this season. Transfers in and out, coupled with intriguing managerial additions, have added some zing to the melting pot, and we honestly, for the second time in two years, have no idea where the famous trophy will end up, come May.

Through the promotion of Leicester, Burnley and QPR, as well as the coming of "King" Louis Van Gaal, the league has seen the influx of four huge managerial personalities - all with a point to prove. One thing is for certain, despite losing out of big world names to the Spanish La Liga, the English top flight has seemingly not suffered in the way of quality or intrigue.

Whilst a prediction is obviously not law - something lost on many Leeds and Norwich fans following my unkind assessment of their Championship chances (I did however allow myself a chuckle when both were beaten by Millwall and Wolves, respectively, in their opening fixtures) - we have tried to give our best prediction, based on transfers completed, form at the back end of last season, managerial change, and of course, finances, to give our assessment of how we see the Barclays Premier League panning out in the 2014/15 Season.





Arsenal


Nickname: The Gunners

City: London

Stadium (Capacity): Emirates Stadium (60,361)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 59,487

Manager: Arsene Wenger

One to watch: Alexis Sanchez

Position finished last season: 4th

Expectations for 2014/15:


The Gunners have already managed to get their name on some silverware this season, making that two trophies in their last two competitive matches. Their victory was conclusive over Manchester City in last week's Charity Shield,  with impressive performances from across the squad, notably including new boys, Alexis Sanchez and Calum Chambers, and Aaron Ramsey.

The Gunners look set to go up through the gears, and could go one better than last season, finally breaking out of the shackles of 4th place. In order to do that though, they need further investment. Rumours of Sami Khedira have gone quiet, and though whilst the German would add some steel in midfield, it's not exactly Arsene Wenger's problem area. Central defence is still woefully thin, following the departure of Thomas Vermaelen to FC Barcelona last week. In order to become a title winning side, Arsenal must acquire at least two more defenders before the seasons gets fully going.

New kid on the block - Alexis Sanchez arrives from
FCB following an impressive World Cup for Chile.
Going forward, the Gunners have it all. Against City they showed awesome pace in attack - and that without the services of Mesut Özil, Lukas Podolski, and Theo Walcott. There will be goals, and Arsenal should start to see some of the quality of old in the final third. Maybe the plan is to just simply outscore every opponent they come up against?

Given some transfer magic, and a bit of fortune, could Arsenal be about to pull off the unthinkable and take the Premier League trophy back to North London for the first time in almost a decade? It's unlikely, given the quality they face around them. City, Chelsea and possibly Liverpool all have deeper and more tactically versatile squads. They will most certainly be one to keep an eye out for though.


Aston Villa


Nickname: The Villains

City: Birmingham

Stadium (Capacity): Villa Park (42,788)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 36,081

Manager: Paul Lambert

One to watch: Fabian Delph

Position finished last season: 15th

Expectations for 2014/15:


Villa have been flirting with the drop for a couple of years now, with Paul Lambert having been “blooding youth” for what feels like forever. Villa need to start kicking into gear and pressing on up the league. However, with owner Randy Lerner wanting out, this isn’t about to happen, as investment is at an all time low, and has probably served to keep Paul Lambert in a job for longer than expected.

Villa have had some money during the Lambert years, but it has been poorly invested. Middlesbrough fans could barely breathe through laughing as Villa forked out around £5m for Joe Bennett – a terrible left back even in the Championship.

One positive is the arrival of Joe Cole, but in reality he will not make significant impact where Villa really struggle – organisation at the back. In this sense, maintaining the signature of Ron Vlaar following a mighty summer in Brazil, could be invaluable if Villa are to beat the drop. This isn’t even a certainty though, with Southampton new Dutch manager Ronald Koeman poised to strike. They're desperate for a return to form from Christian Benteke, in order to form a decent axis with Fabian Delph.

The inpact of out-and-out winner Roy Keane could be massive this season. If Villa make a dire start, Keane could even see himself in the hot seat before January.

To compound any misery Villa fans may already have, they need to face the entirety of last season's Top Six in their first ten games. Not looking good.



Burnley


Nickname: The Clarets

City: Burnley

Stadium (Capacity): Turf Moor (22,546)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 13,719

Manager: Sean Dyche

One to watch: 

Position finished last season: Promoted from the Championship as runners-up.

Expectations for 2014/15:

If you are a regular viewer of The Footballer’s Football Show, or Soccer AM, both on Sky, you are familiar with Sean Dyche. The charismatic Burnley manager was one of the Championship’s biggest success stories last campaign, overseeing the Claret’s return to the big time, as runners-up, with a huge tally of 93 points. Dyche speaks with intelligence, and has a methodical, astute view of the game, and it will be very interesting to see how he fares up against the likes of LVG and Mourinho.

Sean Dyche - immortalised in Lego.
Danny Ings and Sam Vokes formed a ferocious strike partnership last season, bagging 41 between them. This time, you would imagine they are not afforded the freedom of the opposition penalty area, and a similar haul will be next to impossible. But with Ings receiving shouts for an England call-up at the back end of last season, Burnley are certainly strong going forward. They have added experience and depth across the squad, with the arrivals of Matt Taylor and Steven Reid.

With one of the smallest budgets on the go, Burnley may find it a struggle to keep up over the course of the season, but with a bit more investment, and if Dyche can maintain his upward managerial curve however, there is no reason why Burnley could stay up. We hope they do.


Chelsea


Nickname: The Blues

City: London

Stadium (Capacity): Stamford Bridge (41,798)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 41,482

Manager: José Mourinho

One to watch: Cesc Fabregas/ Diego Costa

Position finished last season: 3rd

Expectations for 2014/15:


Chelsea have shown themselves to be the shrewdest operators in the English transfer market in the last two seasons. The Special One and his "Little Horse" look ready to compete for top honours this time out, following the purchase of both Cesc Fabregas and Diego Costa from La Liga. Costa comes fresh from a La Liga title and Champions League final, and is widely regarded as the second most dangerous front man in Europe, behind a certain Uruguayan chomper. Not to mention the return of club god, Didier Drogba.

And all of this whilst more-or-less breaking even. The sales of David Luiz (we've all seen the memes following Germany's thrashing of Brazil), Demba Ba, and Romelu Lukaku have more than subsidised the two big summer signings, and the wage bill has been slashed following the departures of Ashley Cole, Frank Lampard, and Samuel Eto'o. Impressive.

Mourinho in conversation with the
departed Frank Lampard.
José, for all the criticism of his methods, is unquestionably one of the world's tactical masterminds, and one of the Premier League's premium personalities. He is a seasoned winner, and he knows exactly how to extract the absolute best out of his Chelsea squad over the course of a season. We fancy Chelsea to lift the trophy, and possibly either win more domestic silverware, or go far in the Champions League.

Make no mistake though, this season is one of pressure for JM. Chelsea finished third last time out, and José still hasn't really shook the Real Madrid monkey off his back. His years in Spain were some of the worst in his career, and he is still looking to fully recover from them. A certain Roman Abramovich will no doubt be watching keenly.


Crystal Palace


Nickname: The Eagles

City: London

Stadium (Capacity): Selhurst Park (26,255)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 24,377

Manager: Tony Pulis

One to watch: Mile Jedinak

Position finished last season: 11th

Expectations for 2014/15:

As I was typing this piece up last night, I was about to write something for Crystal Palace along the lines of; “Having won Manager of the Season last time out, Tony Pulis has done a magnificent job and will undoubtedly look to make an assault on the top half of the Premier League this campaign.”

As the news unfolds this morning that Pulis has incredibly left the club – apparently by mutual consent - over a rift in the boardroom regarding control over transfers, we can’t help but feel that this is probably the worst way Eagles fans could have possibly imaged kicking off the new year. In Pulis, Palace had a manager who would guarantee top flight football, and in the managerial market that Crystal Palace operate in, he will be very difficult to top - and we struggle to think who might come in and do a better job.

No doubt, Messrs Pearson, Dyche and Redknapp will be watching the news unfold with glee, as this now very much opens up the opportunity for them to stay up at Palace’s expense. Not only through the loss of manager, but to start the season off with this level of uncertainty is never a comfortable feeling for any fan.

If Palace do not replace their fall hero swiftly, and with quality, they could very well end up exiting the Premier League through the trapdoor.


Everton


Nickname: The Toffees

City: Liverpool

Stadium (Capacity): Goodison Park (40,537)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 37,732

Manager: Roberto Martinez

One to watch: Ross Barkley

Position finished last season: 5th

Expectations for 2014/15:


Last season was just dreadful for poor David Moyes. Not only did he find the United job to be far too much for him, but his old club managed their biggest points haul since they last won the top flight. The perception that Moyes had been overachieving with Everton was harshly swept away, and replaced with one that suggested he might have done better with the squad he had.

Life after Moyes for the Toffee’s has certainly exceeded expectations. With a new brand of ultimately attractive attacking football, built on a solid foundation at the back, has won the hearts of many neutrals around the country. Coupled with the rise of a handful of home-grown youngsters, the resurgence of Gareth Barry, and the awesome left foot of Leighton Baines, Everton must take plaudits for their English core, in a time when the like of Manchester City field a full starting XI of foreigners. If the England team is to attempt to replicate the German model, it is teams like Everton that will get the ball rolling,

Despite narrowly missing out on the Champions League last season, Everton may find this season a bit tougher going. United will be a stronger force, and will likely compete directly with Everton for 5th place, as well as the Toffees now having to compete in the Europa League on Thursday nights.

They have been very quiet on the transfer front, in terms of volume of signings, with only really the permanent capture of Barry and Lukaku to note, as well as the Loan signing of Christian Atsu from Chelsea.

Without having expanded the squad to fight in Europe, and United not having that as a distraction, we fancy Everton to compete well in Europe, but ultimately suffer at home for it, with United beating them to 5th place.



Hull City


Nickname: The Tigers

City: Hull

Stadium (Capacity): KC Stadium (25,400)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 24,116

Manager: Steve Bruce

One to watch: Tom Ince

Position finished last season: 16th

Expectations for 2014/15:

Rebranding and dodgy new badges aside; it’s an exciting time to be from Hull (first time that has ever been said). Steve Bruce is really onto something at the KC, and Tigers fans can look forward to European football, owing to their FA Cup Final appearance in May.

They have recruited impressively - despite losing Shane Long to Saints for “an offer too good to refuse” - adding Robert Snodgrass and Jake Livermore, whilst beating Inter Milan to the signature of Tom Ince – we do not understand how.

Despite only finishing 16th in the league last season, this position doesn’t do Hull any justice, as their league form dropped off severely, as they started to take the FA Cup more seriously – and rightfully so.

Competing in Europe, whilst it may be an amazing experience for the fans, could see league form suffer, but not to the extent of them being in danger of the drop. There are definitely worse outfits in this league than Hull. Hopefully the man at the top doesn't do anything drastic to spoil what could be a memorable season.



Leicester City



Nickname: The Foxes

City: Leicester

Stadium (Capacity): King Power Stadium (32,262)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 24,995

Manager: Nigel Pearson

One to watch: David Nugent

Position finished last season: Promoted from The Championship as runaway Champions.


Expectations for 2014/15:


The Foxes absolutely ran away with the Championship last season – scoring an almighty 102 points haul. Nigel Pearson, a former General in his playing days, looks to employ the same level of intense motivation in his managerial style, with players ready to go the distance for him.

In (the very much underrated) Marc Albrighton, and Matthew Upson, the Foxes have recruited crucial top flight experience, to add to the likes of Kasper Schmeichel and David Nugent, both of whom have had short-term outings previously. They may feel a bit more comfortable with one or two solid signings before the end of the transfer window, but in their current, well-organised hungry young squad, with Pearson at the helm, they have every chance of staying in the Premier League.

With Tony Pulis leaving Crystal Palace in bizarre fashion before a ball is even kicked, all three of the promoted clubs will smell blood, and Leicester might possibly be favourites to capitalise.


Liverpool


Nickname: The Reds

City: Liverpool

Stadium (Capacity): Anfield (45,276)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 44,671

Manager: Brendan Rodgers

One to watch: Raheem Sterling

Position finished last season: 2nd

Expectations for 2014/15:


Brendan Rodgers has very much proven himself one of the more tactically astute managers in the Premier League; and no doubt that loss against Chelsea at the end of last season will have felt like an arrow to the heart, as the Reds were undone by wily old Mourinho’s counter attack.

Expect to see a bit more
of this in 2014/15
That said – what a season it was for Liverpool last time out. The Reds very much go into this season with high hopes, even after losing the world’s most dangerous striker (for more than just his shooting ability). They have recruited well this summer, and will be all too aware of the depth needed in the squad if they are to compete on the European stage too this season. The arrival of Southampton’s finest, in the form of Adam Lallana, Dejan Lovren and Rickie Lambert is a mouth watering proposition, and will add to the already magnificent attacking forces at Anfield, as well as steadying the ship at the back. No more unforced errors from poor Kolo Toure will be tolerated.

Jordan Henderson has very much come into his own over the last season. Having suffered significant stick for his performances during the Kenny Dalglish years, the young Mackem was one of the outstanding figures at Liverpool last year. The power shift in the England camp was evident also, as Henderson collared Wayne Rooney, to remind him of his defensive responsibilities down the left wing against Italy, following Liverpool teammate Daniel Sturridge’s goal. He may yet be even more crucial to Liverpool's title chances. Towards the end of last season, and throughout the World Cup, incredibly, we started to lose a bit of faith in Steven Gerrard's ability. The Scouse God may be forced to sit out a bit more of the season than he would like, in order to preserve his longevity.

We expect Liverpool to try and press on and make another assault on the title. However, given the quality of Chelsea and Manchester City, they will be hard pressed to outscore them both over an entire season, given that they will now face midweek action in the Champions League also – they no longer have that advantage this season.


Manchester City


Nickname: The Citizens

City: Manchester

Stadium (Capacity): Etihad Stadium (47,805)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 47,080

Manager: Manuel Pelligrini

One to watch: Sergio Aguero

Position finished last season: 1st

Expectations for 2014/15: 


Despite a massively flat outing in the Charity Shield against Arsenal, in which they were amazingly, outclassed in every department - you can never write off a squad with this much talent from retaining their title. Having won the trophy twice now, City are now fully aware of what it takes to go the distance, albeit, clinching their first on the final minute of the season, and their second having lead the league the least amount of days out of anybody who had. They certainly wouldn't say no to a comfier ride.

That said, the pressure is starting to mount of City to make any sort of impact on Europe's biggest stage. Given the quality in their side, their last two Champions League campaigns must go down as massive failures. This squad, as a unit, is not used to competing for titles both at home and on the continent simultaneously - and concentration on either could see their form suffer in the other. Having taken two Premier Leagues now, we expect City to pour everything they can into the assault on Europe, which has been made slightly more difficult with their UEFA wrist slap - they must now operate on a budget of only £49m, and must register at least five homegrown players in their 21-man Champions League squad (which, after fielding an entirely foreign starting XI against Arsenal, could prove to be a stretch on quality).

Back home, they now face an even hungrier Mourinho, now in his second season back at Chelsea, with his "Little Horse" seemingly ready to race. We cannot see past Chelsea for the Premier League.

For this reason, we do not see City lifting the title in May. But they may fare better than they have done in the Champions League. Locking Vincent Kompany into a new four year deal is at least something to be over the blue moon about.



Manchester United


Nickname: The Red Devils

City: Manchester

Stadium (Capacity): Old Trafford (75,713)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 75,207

Manager: Louis Van Gaal

One to watch: Ander Herrera

Position finished last season: 7th

Expectations for 2014/15:

"Nobody wants to be the man to follow Sir Alex Ferguson" - maybe not. But who wouldn't want to be the man to follow David Moyes? United have handed Dutchman, Louis Van Gaal one of the best managerial positions in world football, owing to the bashing that expectations took under the Moyes regime. 

Following a strong World Cup, Louis Van Gaal appears to be on top form, and his strict methods are exactly what United crave at Carrington - off the back of one of their least disciplined periods of recent history. Van Gaal looks poised to instate a back three, as employed in Brazil - which could see heavy dependance on the wing backs from the Reds this campaign. With the rumour mill persistently churning out stories about Mats Hummels, Daley Blind, Marco Rojo and Angel Di Maria, it would appear United will make at least one more headline signing before the end of the transfer window, with Blind a perfect fit for the LWB slot.


LVG recently instated Wayne Rooney as the new captain of
Manchester United, ending months of speculation.
Having said that, aside from Ander Herrera (who appears to be the answer to United's prayers since Paul Scholes hung up his boots) and young Luke Shaw, LVG hasn't really had the mass clearout that some pundits were citing essential last season. Figures like Nani, Antonio Valencia, Hernandez et. al. still remain, whilst key members of the old guard depart in the form of Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic to pastures new, and Ryan Giggs, finally into retirment. Hard to blame Van Gaal for the relatively tame transfer window however, given his involvement as Holland boss.

This season could very much be about Van Gaal getting the ropes in the Premier League, before making the squad his own next summer. Although, despite all of this, the lack of midweek European football will only serve to play into United's hands, much as it did for Liverpool last season. We expect United to be certainly fighting for their Champions League place back, but it might just be beyond them this campaign with their current squad.



Newcastle United


Nickname: The Magpies

City: Newcastke

Stadium (Capacity): St. James' Park (52,405)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 50,395

Manager: Alan Pardew

One to watch: Tim Krul

Position finished last season: 10th


Expectations for 2014/15:


Patience for mediocrity at Newcastle must be depleting as they see teams around them galvanising, ready for the new season. Pardew has taken over following the departure of the likeable Chris Hughton, and hasn’t really done all that much.

Let’s make no mistake here, for a club the size of Newcastle, mid-table really isn’t good enough. Whether that falls solely on Pardew’s shoulders or not, it is usually the manager who takes responsibility regardless. Unless the Magpies make early head way, Pardew might be a decent bet to not be around come Holiday Season, harsh or not. Of course, headbutting opposition doesn’t help.

Very much in the mould of a selling club, Newcastle have lost the services of one of their best, in Mathieu Debuchy, following a decent World Cup, and of course Yahan Cabaye to PSG, last season. The arrival of Siem de Jong from Ajax is a positive, but they will need key players, notably Papiss Cisse, to bring their A-game. 

A potential season of the unknown for Newcaslte, but there are far worse clubs in the league. Despite universal hatred from the Geordie faithful, Mike Ashley has turned around the financial fortunes of the club, albeit without any sort of passion. The boardroom of St. James’ Park is however, seemingly (incredibly) one of the more secure in the Premier League, and Pards may yet be afforded another summer if Newcastle do have an indifferent season.  

Not an enthralling proposition though.



QPR




Nickname: The R's

City: London

Stadium (Capacity): Loftus Road (18,489)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 16,655

Manager: Harry Redknapp

One to watch: Joey Barton

Position finished last season: Promoted from the Championship as Play-off Winners.

Expectations for 2014/15:

There was real affection in the air between Barton
and Fernandes at Wembley following QPR's
victory over Derby in the Play-off Final
At the beginning of last season, QPR were firm favourites to bounce straight back into the Premier League, and the duly delivered. Despite Joey Barton’s claims before the season had kicked off that he would “never play Championship football”, with an eye on staying in France, the fans accepted his apologies and welcomed him back with open arms. Never has such faith been repaid in the way that it was by Barton last season. The standout player for QPR, urging them on ferociously, whilst players like Nico Kranjcar couldn’t have looked less interested in playing in the second tier. Barton’s game has improved incredibly from the Rottweiler of the midfield, to a much more cultured all-rounder, who’s eye for a pass is something to behold. He will be key to their fortunes this season.

In manager Harry Redknapp, QPR have a seasoned vet, who knows what it takes to stay in the big time. Owner Tony Fernandes’ pockets are deep, and with him withdrawn interest from his other sport, Formula 1, looks set on focussing all attention in staying in the Premier League. Whilst the bookies don’t appear to fancy QPR, many will tip them to be most likely to stay up out of the promoted teams. The signing of Rio Ferdinand will add to this, as the former England captain will add steel, and a desire to win, amidst his endless experience. Keep an eye out also for Charlie Austin, who would have been a Premier League player regardless of the switch he made from Burnley last season.


Southampton


Nickname: The Saints

City: Southampton

Stadium (Capacity): St. Mary's (32,589)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 30,212

Manager: Ronald Koeman

One to watch: 

Position finished last season: 8th

Expectations for 2014/15:

You’ve got to feel for Saints fans. Never before has a club seen such a summer of Exodus, following a great previous season. Southampton are a victim of their own design, in the sense that through nurturing all of their young talent, they have become the envy of many, including the big boys. The departures of Shaw, Chambers, Lambert and Lallana – not to mention the man behind the meteoric rise last season, Mauricio Pochettino, came as a hammer blow. But in new boss Ronald Koeman, they have one of the game’s all-time greats, fresh from turning Feyenoord back into a Dutch force.

Having sold the aforementioned stars of last season Saints have reaped somewhere close to a staggering £100m in transfer fees, so there is plenty in the “warchest” for them to rebuild effectively – so long as they don’t do what Spurs did with Gareth Bale’s £90m. Still, influential players in the form of Wanyama, Rodriguez and Ward-Prowse remain, so there is a foundation with which to build on, and with the arrival of Fraser Forster from Celtic, Shane Long from Hull, and Ryan Bertrand on loan from Chelsea, Saints looks to be in recovery mode. The opening weeks will reveal the problem areas no doubt, but Saints fans shouldn’t fear the worst. We tip them to stay up, and consolidate lower-mid table. They’ve done it once before and they’re in decent shape to do it again.



Stoke City


Nickname: The Potters

City: Stoke

Stadium (Capacity): Britannia Stadium (27,740)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 26,137

Manager: Mark Hughes

One to watch: Bojan

Position finished last season: 9th

Expectations for 2014/15:

Few were expecting the degree of change that Mark Hughes would bring with him, but incredibly, Stoke are now fairly attractive to watch. Starting to stagnate a bit in the bottom half, change was necessary from the Pulis era, even if he did go on to become Manager of the Season with Palace.

Stoke have been fairly quiet on the transfer front, aside from the signing of a certain diminutive attacking player from Barcelona. Lionel who? We’re talking about Bojan, of course. Probably the biggest sign of change at the Britannia – Bojan would never have gotten into a Pulis team, where direct play was king. Now the onus is very much on the players to get the ball, and keep it.

We expect a solid mid-table effort from Stoke. They havn’t yet the squad to trouble the top half to any significant degree.



Sunderland


Nickname: The Black Cats

City: Sunderland

Stadium (Capacity): Stadium of Light (48,707)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 41,090

Manager: Gus Poyet

One to watch: Jack Rodwell

Position finished last season: 14th

Expectations for 2014/15:


Incredibly, Sunderland managed to finish 14th in the league last season, following one of the most remarkable turn-arounds ever witnessed, under BBC favourite Gus Poyet. It was quite a task undoing the mess brought about under Paolo Di Canio’s tenure, and Poyet will look to invest much more astutely than his predecessor.

Sunderland have been in a relegation dog-fight now for the last two seasons, something which is never a comfortable feeling – unless you’re master escape artists Wigan (until recently). If this season is to be considered any sort of success, Poyet will need to take stock, and look to push on towards the safety of mid-table, consolidating mathematical safety a good few weeks before the end of the season.

The Black Cats have grabbed a great transfer in Jack Rodwell, who will add much to the squad, and have otherwise invested in depth, whilst ridding themselves of deadwood in the form of free transfers. Don’t expect much change to the starting XI from last season, but do expect a much better turn-out.



Swansea City


Nickname: The Swans

City: Swansea, Wales

Stadium (Capacity): Liberty Stadium (20,750)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 20,407

Manager: Gary Monk

One to watch: Wilfried Bony

Position finished last season: 12th

Expectations for 2014/15:

Swansea were a team that I loved a couple of seasons back. However, they have lost their way a bit. In Michael Laudrup they had one of the great up and coming managers, playing stylish football, and generally winning the hearts of many. Cue a boardroom bust-up, the departure of Laudrup and the promotion of club-captain Gary Monk into the manager’s office and you have the modern Swans.

Monk is still an inexperienced manager. Swansea have been scrambling around a bit for quality throughout last season and never really looked like getting going. Losing influential keeper Michel Vorm and Ben Davies, both to Spurs is a blow, but they have brought in some quality, in the form of Lukasz Fabianski, and the returning, hugely underrated, Gylfi Sigurdsson, as well as French hit man Bafetimbi Gomis from Lyon/ Although, quite what Swansea think they’re purchasing in Marvin Emnes is beyond me. A proven flop at both Premier League and Championship level, Emnes is a sight for sore eyes at the Riverside, and I’m delighted to have gotten rid of him. Sorry Swans fans. Although, hanging on to Wilfried Bony, under pressure, was a result.

Much like Sunderland, Swansea are in need of improvement on last season’s outing, but do not look to have the potential to break into the top half.






Tottenham Hotspur


Nickname: Spurs

City: London

Stadium (Capacity):White Hart Lane (36,284)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 35,808

Manager: Mauricio Pochettino

One to watch: Cristian Eriksson

Position finished last season: 6th

Expectations for 2014/15:


Eriksen has been a real success at Spurs.
Following Poch’s impressive tenure at Saints, he is the latest man to be tasked with making Daniel Levy happy. There was outrage at the sacking of AVB, and Levy yet again not giving his manager enough time/ support to the likeable Portuguese. In came Tim Sherwood, to the bemusement of many, who did actually enough to be considered a shoe-in for the permanent spot. But not for Levy.

Who knows what this season will hold for Spurs. Probably more of the same. The squad has had a bit more time to settle down now, following the monumental waste of money that was Gareth Bale’s transfer fee. One positive has to be the form of Christian Eriksen under Sherwood, who looks to be a real piece of quality. Football Manager fan’s will have us know that he has always been this good. Particularly when they masterminded Ajax to the treble.

Despite the most recent upheaval however - Pochettino in and a mass of players out, we don’t see Spurs having the quality to beat Manchester United or Everton to a Europa spot. You never know though, Pochettino has surprised us all once, with the job he oversaw at Saints. Can he do it again?





West Bromwich Albion


Nickname: The Baggies

City: West Bromwich

Stadium (Capacity): The Hawthorns (26,445)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 25,194

Manager: Alan Irvine

One to watch: 

Position finished last season: 17th

Expectations for 2014/15:


The question on many people’s lips this summer regards new WBA boss Alan Irvine. People mainly want to know who he is. David Moyes’ former assistant has had a relatively decent run with Preston recently, before being sacked from Sheffield Wednesday whilst they languished in League 1 mediocrity.

Not the most inspiring managerial acquisition, and just at the wrong time too. The Baggies had a poor season last year, avoiding the drop by the finest of margins, and would have looked to try and grab somebody in the shape of Tony Pulis to keep them up this season. 

However, given their inexperienced manager, and perilously thin squad – having lost many of their experienced players – WBA are staring down the barrel of a gun, even if they have brought in Joleon Lescott, rather impressively.

For us however, WBA are almost a certainty to go down.


West Ham United


Nickname: The Hammers

City: London

Stadium (Capacity): The Boleyn Ground (35,016)

2013/14 Average Attendance: 34,197

Manager: Sam Allardyce

One to watch: 

Position finished last season: 13th

Expectations for 2014/15:


It’s safe to say Big Sam wasn’t the most popular man around East London, last season. Famously cupping his ear to boo-ing home fans, unhappy with his robust style of play – “But it’s not the West Ham way!” – whatever the West Ham way actually is, I’m not sure many people actually know.
 
This season is crunch time for Sam, if Andy Carroll remains fit, there’s no reason to suggest any danger. West Ham are capable of both playing some decent stuff, and grinding out a win – both could come in handy over the course of a season.

The signing of Enner Valencia, having burst onto many people’s radar in Brazil is an apparently good addition, and shipping out trouble-maker Ravel Morrison is also a wise move.

Despite there being many better teams than West Ham in the competition, we tip them to remain fairly solid lower-mid tablers, without too much drama – unless Sam continues to shun the “West Ham way”.



The Lone Striker Table Prediction





"How The Bookie Sees It" Final League Table


Odds derived from Ladbrokes, 15/08/2014. Top half positions calculated using "Outright Winner" market, Bottom half odds (marked with a *) are calculated using the "To Get Relegated" market.

So there we go. We've given it our best shot, and stated our reasons. We predict the trophy to end up at Stamford Bridge, and Villa, Palace, and WBA to all face the drop. We disagree with the bookies on a couple of fronts, mainly concerning who will go down, and the performance of Manchester United.

That concludes our Premier League Season 2014/15 Preview. Whilst certainly more predictable than the Championship, the top flight is sure to throw some massive results and upsets our way over the course of the next ten months. We can't wait.



Don't agree? We would love to hear our reader's thoughts and opinions. Write a comment below or fire us a Tweet!


The Premier League season officially kicks off on Saturday, 12:45pm,  at Old Trafford, where Louis Van Gaal's Manchester United face Swansea in their first test of the new season. 




Monday, 28 July 2014

Where Now for Messi and Barça?


Lionel Messi’s under-par performances in the latter stages of the World Cup in Brazil has sparked an increasingly hostile debate, in the wake of Argentina defeat to Germany at the Maracana - with many critics pointing at a serious loss of form originating from the second half of last season at Barça.

But Messi’s, and by extension Barcelona’s, problems were more deep rooted than a mere loss of form during the second half of last season. The Argentine’s tribulations were simply symbiotic with the metaphorical car crash that was Barcelona last season.

Neymar’s arrival last summer, amid a variety of hype and fanfare, was met with indignation by Messi’s influential father, with widespread derision at the arrival of the 80m+ Brazilian (The figure was not, never was, nor ever will be, the 34m reported by Barça) being reported from within the Messi camp.

Barça's olive branch, astonishingly, was to cede to Messi Senior’s demands that his preferred choice of replacement for the outgoing Tito Vilanova, was to be his hero from Newell’s Old Boys, in Rosario; Gerardo Martino. This seemingly placated the Messi camp; satisfied that with their man at the helm, Messi’s future hegemony at Camp Nou was safely secured.

But this proved to be only the beginning of a season that was riven with strife at the Camp Nou. The strain which had already been evident during the Neymar deal, between the club and Messi’s camp,was only exacerbated a month into the season, with the arrest of Messi’s father on tax evasion charges. This had come only months after both Messi and his father were ordered to pay back 5m to the Spanish Government. Then, in December Messi Senior was arrested again - this time for alleged involvement in a money laundering scheme for a Colombian drugs cartel. Throughout all of this was the season long, protracted battle over Messi’s new contract.
Leo Messi's influential father, Jorge, has been ever present throughout his son's career.

Messi’s Season

Barcelona’s management of Lionel Messi, since he burst upon the world stage, has been essentially a ticking time bomb. When Alejandro Sabella took over the Argentinian National Team in 2011, one of the people from whom he immediately sought counsel was Messi’s mentor, and then coach; Pep Guardiola. Desperate to find a means through which Messi could begin replicating his feats for Barça in international football, Sabella had reached out to the one man who knew the intricacies of what it took to maximise the extraordinary innate talents of the genius from Rosario.
Guardiola’s response was an interesting insight into how to motivate the mercurial genius; “Give Leo the armband and never, ever substitute him. EVER.” But this was no meaningless, light hearted exchange between two acquaintances; his appearance record under Guardiola was astonishing.


Lionel Messi's Appearance and Goal statistics from 2008-13
But what makes it so astonishing, was perhaps the longest run of good fortune any player operating at the peak of his powers has ever enjoyed. Messi’s treatment by opposition players has at times, over the last half decade, been nothing short of barbaric. The worst of these was undoubtedly the 2008 Classico, at Camp Nou, where Juande Ramos’ shamed Real Madrid side carried out one of the most concerted efforts to kick a player out of the game ever witnessed. The real miracle has been Messi’s extraordinary propensity to avoid any serious long term injury.
Guardiola’s method of managing Messi was simple. If Messi is fit, then Messi plays. And play he did - with Tito Vilanova merely continuing in the same vein as his predecessor in 2012, as Messi played one game shy of 270 competitive games for Barça, in a five year period. Playing no fewer than 50 games for five consecutive seasons. Eventually, without an adequate system of managing Messi’s prodigious talent this was going to catch up with him. Eventually, something was going to have to give. And it inevitably did - as soon as Martino arrived at the Camp Nou.
Interestingly, Barça's concession in appointing Martino as new manager was a double edged ploy. As well as placating the concerns of Messi’s camp fearing that their nose being put out of joint by the arrival of Neymar, they believed that Martino’s relationship with Messi’s father afforded their new manager a certain latitude in dealing with their prized possession. Martino spoke openly about reducing the playing time of Messi; removing him in games which, in effect, were already won, and looking at ways of improving his periods of recovery between action.
Messi suffered an injured thigh during Barça's opening game of the season against Atletico at Camp Nou. He returned a week later to play in the second leg. In late September he suffered a muscle tear in his right thigh. Messi returned three weeks later. And then 20 minutes into a game, away to Betis last November, Messi hobbled off with another thigh muscle tear, now in his left left leg. This time however, there would be shortcuts to recovery, and Messi was to sit out for two months of the season.

Messi hobbled off after just 20 minutes, during a 4-1 win away to Real Betis last November.

Upon Messi’s return there were periods of genuine brilliance. At the Etihad in February, the Argentine was sublime. In a game during which Barça dominated much of the play, with a brutal pace in possession, beween Xavi and Iniesta in particular, Messi was free to exploit the space left by City’s attempts to close down Barça’s midfield - who at times looked as though they were only playing amongst themselves. Messi tortured and tormented Vincent Kompany and the hapless Dimechelis throughout the entire game. Ultimately, the English side were fortunate to escape with only a 2-0 defeat. A month later in Madrid, during the course of the second El Clasico of the season, Messi scored a hat trick during a thrilling 4-3 victory, in what was his, and Barça’s, best display of the season.
But these were increasingly rare displays of brilliance. Barça won only eleven of their final nineteen league games, following Messi’s return. There was a tepid capitulation at home to a resurgent Valencia, with Messi effectively reduced to a spectator for much of the second half. It was a similar story weeks later in San Sebastian, as Barça were beat 3-1 by an excellent Real Sociedad side. This game followed an increasingly familiar template. Barça enjoyed much of the possession and Messi scored an excellent equalizer, but increasingly, he also cut a frustrated figure and found it difficult to assert his influence on the course of the game, failing to achieve any meaningful penetration.
The low point of their league form came in March, with an embarrassing away defeat to relegation threatened Valladolid (who were eventually relegated), despite again, controlling the bulk of possession. Barça, and Messi in particular, were unable to break down their opposition - who were content in putting vast numbers of men in front of Messi and asking him to try and break them down. What was more concerning, was the worrying body language, the remonstrating with team mates, and the seeming disinterest in matches.
But the real moment of genuine crisis came during the Champions League Semi final, against Atletico Madrid.
Barça’s defeat to Atletico could (and should have been) as comprehensive as their defeat to Bayern, a year previous. It is not exaggeration to state that Barça could conceivably have been 3-0 down, inside ten minutes. When not in possession, Atletico defended, as they have done for three years under Diego Simeone, with all eleven men. Against Barça, Juanfran and Luis Felipe were both deployed no wider than their own 18-yard box; effectively ceding the flanks to Barça, in order to force them to attack from wide - knowing that in the absence of any concerted genuine wide threat, and with no aerial targets, Barça were pretty much done for. Throughout the entire miserable 90 minutes, for Barça fans, Messi was effectively a passenger.
He dropped out wide right and attempted to assert his influence as he has done so often, with the trademark drop of his shoulder, cutting inside onto his left foot (see below video), but faced with a box full of Atletico players who were willing to run through walls for their manager, there was simply no way through. When continued attempted attacks broke down in succession, the sight of a forlorn Messi making no attempt to win the ball back, became a depressingly familiar facet of the game. Not able to influence the game in any way shape or form, not capable (or willing) to have any meaningful impact in defence - Messi was effectively a passenger in a Barça team that still looks to him in times of desperation to be the difference.

But something far worse, and far more more serious, was also evident. The alluded to 'trademark drop of the shoulder' and burst of acceleration, that has conspired to embarrass the world’s elite defenders over the last decade, was agonisingly absent from view. Following the loss in Madrid, Messi was (for the first time) openly criticised in the Catalan press, and by some sections of The Barça support; for which he remains to the majority almost a civic religion. Upon their return to Barcelona, following the Copa Del Rey final defeat to Real, a sizeable number of disgruntled supporters met them upon their return to Camp Nou to voice their anger, with Messi being the focal point of much of it.
The main focus of attack against the Argentine, and one that was the most quoted, was that he was ‘saving himself’ for the World Cup at the expense of the club who had effectively raised him as their own. There was a shocking drop off in Messi’s work rate. During Barça’s defeat to Atletico two players covered less ground than Messi;
Thibauld Coutois and Jose Pinto.
At the season’s end, a Barcelona director argued that Messi had been furious at the Camp Nou leadership for “turning their back” on him during his tax evasion scandal, and stated that it was widely believed inside the club that Messi had used the El Clasico in March as a bargaining chip, by which the club was warned that Messi could (and would) turn on his prodigious talents, when and wherever he pleased. The same director also coined the now infamous phrase of Messi deliberately adopting a ‘Go Slow’ season, in revenge for what he saw as a slight against his influence at Camp Nou.

But aside from Messi’s woes, lies a deeper truth in the problems at Camp Nou - an increasingly Post-Tiki-Taka footballing landscape. 
Since Barça last won the Champions League in 2011, there has been a sea change in the blueprint for teams wanting to win the greatest club honour on earth. Teams who are physically imposing, who possess pace, speed, and power. Teams who are comfortable with having to soak up prolonged periods of pressure, but during transitions in play, possess enough genuine world class talent that are capable of ruthlessly exploiting the opposition's propensity for mistakes, when the opportunity arises. A ruthless model of ‘Power Football’ - that only a few years ago had been deemed all but obsolete.
The brutal reality is that thoughout this period, Barça’s refusal to adapt to these new demands, never abandoning Messi’s beloved 4-3-3, or indeed their over reliance on his influence, has seen them increasingly left behind. This reality has been masked by the uneasy fact that Messi and Barça ply their domestic trade in a league that is often so devoid of any genuine competitive opposition that it borders upon the farcical. Eleven times last season Barça hit domestic opponents by four goals or more. Three times by more than a six goal margin.
Time and again, when they have come up against the elite of European football, they have been found out to be hopelessly unequipped in dealing with the harsher footballing climate that they must now operate in. Against Chelsea (11/12), Bayern Munich (12/13), and Atletico Madrid (13/14), Barcelona faced European opposition whose physically imposing teams were willing to allow Barça the time in possession that they so crave and demand; yet utterly overwhelmed the Catalans.
These teams shared a ruthless dynamic, based around what, until only recently, had been considered a physicality which was deemed obelsete. Power in defending and set plays.
There have been no ‘free rides’ in these teams for any individual player. They have carried no passengers. Diego Costa often cut an increasingly isolated figure in matches on the way to Atletico’s La Liga triumph and Champions League final appearance last season; yet he revelled in this isolation. Costa never failed to make the thankless runs into the opposition’s channels, to stretch defences and create space, through which a host of Atletico players exploited all season long. When Costa was injured at the back end of the season, Adrian stepped into the role seamlessly, stepping in front of the opposition whenever they took control of possession. There is no over reliance on any individual players.

Diego Costa, reveling in isolation.
Elsewhere, Pep Guardiola’s Bayern Munich macabre dismantling at the hands of Real Madrid, only illustrated what for many observers has been patently obvious for some time. As it was reported back in Catalonia; "It’s an unavoidable thought: Barcelona’s crisis is, at the same time, Guardiola’s crisis, even if they are separated by a distance of a thousand kilometres.”
Bayern, like Barça, are fortunate in that they compete in an equally multi-tiered domestic competition, where its opposition will, more often than not, dutifully play the part of sacrificial lambs. But in European competition, Guardiola’s men were decimated, playing a possession based game that had effectively already proved to be to be tactically inept during his last campaign in Europe in 2012.
During Real Madrid’s 4-0 win in Munich, Bayern had plenty of possession, but Guardiola's men lacked the ability to move the ball around with the same tempo as his great Champions League winning teams had done previously. Chasing a one goal deficit from the first leg, Guardiola positioned Müller higher up the pitch, to play just just off Mario Mandzukic in a 4-3-2-1. But in reality, it was almost a conventional 4-4-2 at times, as both joined one another in attack, searching for a breakthrough that never came. It was a staggering display of tactical naivety, or arrogance, by a double Champions League winning coach.

With both Arjen Robben and Frank Ribery unable to find any penetration, and with Mandzukic and Müller often bypassed in the run of play; Toni Kroos and Bastian Schweinstiger were simply over run in midfield. Faced with the attacking onslaught of Angel Di Maria, Gareth Bale and Cristiano Ronaldo, the Bavarians were simply swept aside, and overwhelmed by the ruthlessness though which they were continually broke on. Overwhelmed by the sheer power and speed of their play.
What hurt the Germans, and drew the ire of the German press and Bayern supporters alike, was the fact that Carlo Ancelotti had simply adopted the Bayern blueprint under Jupp Heynkes, who only a year earlier, had carried out its own demolition job over Barça. It had now seemingly adopted a style of possession football that has increasingly been abandoned by teams winning the highest honours in world football.
Bayern fell short of expectations when met with Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid side.

Where Now For Messi and Barça?

Barça’s symbiotic relationship with Messi has been based upon a dumfoundingly simply proposition. As long as he turns it on it possession, he is free to roam the pitch, and have none of the on-field responsibilities shared by his teammates. It is testament to his abilities that few players have ever questioned this, or openly challenged its legitimacy. Even Zlatan gracefully accepted the role of dutiful subordinate. No easy feat.
But what about if increasingly, Messi doesn’t hold up to his end of the bargain? In his absence from Barça’s lineup last season, other players flourished - released from the restrictions placed upon them by Messi’s presence.
Cesc Fabregas enjoyed the best period of form in his Barça career; freed up to make the devastating runs from deep that menaced English football. There were marginal adaptions to Barça’s play as well; again centred on Fabregas. There was a new willingness to go more direct, utilising Fabregas’ greater range of passing than both Xavi and Iniesta. Alexis Sanchez too looked, for the first time since his arrival at Camp Nou, the world class talent he had been in Italy. Neymar too had quietly integrated himself well into the Barça team, with steady if not spectacular performances. He was improving each game and his influence was increasinlgly being felt.
Upon Messi’s return, Sanchez again reverted to a more marginal figure, finding himself isolated out wide. As did Fabregas, who eventually lost his place following Messi’s return. When he was used, it was often wide left as part of a front three, where he struggled to have any meaningful impact and subsequently became a scapegoat for much of Barcelona’s failings; openly jeered at Camp Nou. What is more worrying, as much as his negative influence on other players, is the fact that Messi’s return precipitated Barça’s domestic collapse.
Barça have ceded more to Messi than any other player in their illustrious history. But as long as the returns are consistent, and silverware continues to be accumulated at Camp Nou, then this can be justified. But Barça haven’t won a European competition for three years. Last campaign they finished without any competitive silverware for the first time in six seasons. They were again, outclassed in Europe (and domestically) - wedded to a system that panders to Messi’s demands at the expense of other talent surrounding him, whilst allowing him extended periods of recovery, afforded to no other player.
At what point do Barça simply say the words that Messi has thus far never heard?
No.
Messi is fast approaching the zenith of his footballing powers, which will present both he and Barça with a new set of problems. There has been the ongoing battle in the Catalan capital of getting Messi to embrace a more ‘athletic’ high protein diet of fish and white meat - to no avail. Preferring as he does, the staple red meat diet favoured by Argentine players. Thus far, this has elicited little more than mild annoyance within the hierarchy at Camp Nou. But as Messi approaches his later years, the effects (or lack off) effective conditioning and dietary discipline will become more pronounced. This simple facet of biological mechanics will not be lost on those who wield power. Those wary of the rapid physical decline so often seen in South American players as they approach seniority within the game.
The way Messi uses his low centre of gravity to elude tackles and get away from opposition players is predicated upon that trademark initial burst of pace that allows him to bypass their intentions. Through the back end of last season, and during the World Cup in Brazil, this was becoming an all too rare sight.

Given the sheer scale of Messi’s appearances is this really any wonder?

Having played over three-hundred competitive games in just six seasons. Given the absence of any effective management programme, what is more astonishing is that it has taken this long for any effects to become noticeable.
There are a multitude of commercial imperatives hanging over Barça right now. There is a new Stadium to pay for, and as Bartomeu has already shown during his brief tenure, he is just as relentless in pursuing any possible commercial venture, in order to feed Barça’s scramble for capital, as was his predecessor, Sandro Rosell. The window for making the sort of historically monumental financial return on Messi is closing fast. Another season of domestic and European underachievement will be a serious blow to FC Barcelona, and one that they can ill afford. If the Sheiks or the Qatari’s come knocking next summer, with the sort of transfer fee that would effectively pay for the New Stadium, it is difficult to see how Barça could turn down such an offer.
But Messi’s future and that of Barça perhaps rests with someone we haven’t spoke of yet.
Luis Suarez.
A more ruthless competitor and goal scorer doesn’t exist in world football right now. Messi has been lucky, since the departures of Samuel Eto’o and Thierry Henry - Messi has answered to no one. David Villa was moved on at Messi’s behest, Zlatan lasted a season before leaving the Camp Nou and is currently enjoying the best form of his life. As Messi’s hegemony grew at Camp Nou so did his influence on the pitch.
The evidence is bore out that during Barça’s first Champions League triumph under Guardiola, in 2008/09, their front three contributed to an incredible century of goals between them; Messi (38) Eto’o (36) and Henry (26). Fast forward to Barça’s last league-winning campaign in 2012, during which, Messi bagged a simply dumbfounding 60 goals in fifty games, the dependency on Messi is overwhelming. Barça’s next two top scorers were David Villa and Cesc Fabregas with 14 and 13 goals a piece, respectively.
But Luis Suarez is a different beast, who will not meekly and dutifully accept his place as a bit part. Suarez will look to terrorize Spanish opposition as soon as he is he free to return from his FIFA-imposed exile. The scene could be set for the one of the most sensational power struggles ever seen at the Camp Nou. If it is centred around the talents of the pair, then it truly could reinvigorate both Barça and Messi to even higher footballing feats. If however, like so often, it degenerates into an attritious battle of egos, it could well signal the end of either’s career at Camp Nou. If Suarez lights up La Liga upon his return, which is difficult not to see, then I wouldn’t like to bet on which one heads for the exit.